Unadjusted | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |
Adjusted for | ||||
– | Age | Age, exercise capacity, SBP at rest | Model 2 plus risk factors* and beta-blockers | |
Peak systolic blood pressure category | ||||
<10th percentile (n=1644) | 1.20 (1.11–1.31) | 1.34 (1.24–1.46) | 1.14 (1.04–1.25) | 1.07 (0.97–1.18) |
10th–90th percentile (n=5094) | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference |
>90th percentile (n=426) | 0.91 (0.78–1.06) | 1.09 (0.93–1.26) | 1.13 (0.97–1.32) | 1.12 (0.96–1.31) |
Delta systolic blood pressure category | ||||
<10th percentile (n=1752) | 1.24 (1.15–1.35) | 1.36 (1.25–1.47) | 1.16 (1.07–1.26) | 1.11 (1.02–1.21) |
10th–90th percentile (n=5209) | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference |
>90th percentile (n=203) | 0.84 (0.67–1.05) | 1.04 (0.83–1.30) | 1.13 (0.90–1.41) | 1.15 (0.92–1.44) |
Bold font style denotes a statistically significant hazard ratio.
*Risk factors include body mass index, current smoking, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia or a previous diagnosis of coronary artery disease. Model 3 also adjusted for use of beta-blocker medication. Reference values from FRIEND (Fitness Registry and the Importance of Exercise: A National Database) published in Sabbahi et al.18
SBP, systolic blood pressure.